Back to ResearchWest Bengal Assembly Election 2026
West Bengal Assembly Election 2026
POLIQ Projection
Comprehensive seat-by-seat projection for the 2026 West Bengal Assembly Election based on POLIQ's multi-source intelligence methodology combining ground surveys, social media analysis, voter demographic modeling, and incumbency assessment across all 294 constituencies.
POLIQ's Final Projection
View Exit PollData-Driven Forecast — Majority Mark: 148 seats
TMC (AITC)
205–225
Projected Seats
Vote Share: 44–48%
BJP
52–80
Projected Seats
Vote Share: 35–40%
Left Front
2–5
Projected Seats
Vote Share: 6–8%
Congress (INC)
1–3
Projected Seats
Vote Share: 2–4%
OTH
Others
0–3
Projected Seats
Vote Share: 2–3%
Detailed Constituency-Wise Projection
| S.No | Assembly Constituency | TMC Candidate | BJP Candidate | Left Front | Congress | Projected Winner | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mekliganj (SC) | Paresh Chandra Adhikary | Dadhiram Roy | Kamal Roy | Illa Rani Roy | TMC | Strong Rajbanshi welfare penetration. |
| 2 | Mathabhanga (SC) | Sablu Barman | Nisith Pramanik | Khagen Barman | Khitendra Nath Barman | BJP | BJP consolidation |
| 3 | Cooch Behar Uttar (SC) | Partha Pratim Roy | Sukumar Roy | Pranay Karji | Partha Pratim Ishore | BJP | Consistent lead in 2024 segment data. |
| 4 | Cooch Behar Dakshin | Avijit Dey Bhowmik | Rathindra Nath Bose | Nazmul Alam Sarkar | Khokan Mian | BJP | Urban BJP consolidation. |
| 5 | Sitalkuchi (SC) | Harihar Das | Savitri Barman | Nabadipti Adhikari | Sukamal Barman | TMC | Welfare schemes for women (LB). |
| 6 | Sitai (SC) | Sangita Roy | Ashutosh Barma | Arun Kumar Barma | Rabin Roy | TMC | Rural Lakshmir Bhandar dominance + by-election momentum |
| 7 | Dinhata | Udayan Guha | Ajay Roy | Bikash Mondal | Harihar Ray Singha | TMC | Guha’s absolute control over machinery. |
| 8 | Natabari | Sailen Barman | Girija Shankar Roy | Akik Hassan | Biswajit Sarkar | BJP | Traditional BJP stronghold. |
| 9 | Tufanganj | Shib Shankar Paul | Malati Rava Roy | Dhananjoy Rava | Debendra Nath Barma | BJP | Rajbanshi-Saffron alignment. |
| 10 | Kumargram (ST) | Rajeev Tirkey | Manoj Kumar Oraon | Kishore Minz | Sudham Lama | BJP | Tribal vote consolidation. |
| 11 | Kalchini (ST) | Birendra Bara | Bishal Lama | Passang Sherpa | Anjan Chik Baraik | BJP | Tea garden worker grievances. |
| 12 | Alipurduars | Suman Kanjilal | Paritosh Das | Shyamal Roy | — | TMC | Defector resilience and development. |
| 13 | Falakata (SC) | Subhas Chandra Roy | Dipak Barman | Kamal Kishore Roy | Akshoy Kumar Barman | BJP | Strong organizational presence. |
| 14 | Madarihat (ST) | Jay Prakash Toppo | Lakshman Limbu | Subhas Lohar | Dr. Joy Prafulla Lakra | TMC | 2024 by-election flip retention. |
| 15 | Dhupguri (SC) | Nirmal Chandra Roy | Naresh Chandra Roy | Niranjan Roy | Harish Chandra Roy | TMC | Successful 2023 by-poll momentum. |
| 16 | Maynaguri (SC) | Rammohan Roy | Dalim Roy | Sudeb Roy | Jogen Sarkar | BJP | Demographic shift favoring saffron. |
| 17 | Jalpaiguri (SC) | Krishna Das | Ananta Deb Adhikary | Debraj Barman | Sudipto Mohonto | TMC | Women vote consolidation. |
| 18 | Rajganj (SC) | Swapna Barman | Dinesh Sarkar | Kharendranath Roy | Tushar Kanti Roy | TMC | Effective local development push. |
| 19 | Dabgram-Phulbari | Ranjan Shil Sharma | Shikha Chatterjee | Dilip Singh | Rohit Singh Sisodiya (Guddu) | BJP | Urban Siliguri discontent. |
| 20 | Mal (ST) | Bulu Chik Baraik | Sukra Munda | Manu Oraon | Rakesh Kujur | TMC | Baraik personal connect and schemes. |
| 21 | Nagrakata (ST) | Sanjay Kujur | Puna Bhengra | Dilkumar Oraon | Shinu Munda | BJP | Persistent lead in general elections. |
| 22 | Kalimpong | Ruden Sada Lepcha | Bharat Chhetri | — | Santa Kumar Pradhan | BGPM | TMC alliance and GTA stability. |
| 23 | Darjeeling | Bijoy Kumar Rai | Noman Rai | — | Madhap Rai | BGPM | TMC Alliance + Thapa-Mamata hill coordination. |
| 24 | Kurseong | Amar Lama | Sonam Lama | Uttam Sharma | Saroj Kumar Khatri | BGPM | TMC Alliance + Consolidation of hill sentiments. |
| 25 | Matigara-Naxalbari (SC) | Shankar Malakar | Anandamoy Barman | Jharen Roy | Amitava Sarkar | BJP | Saffron lead in Siliguri periphery. |
| 26 | Siliguri | Goutam Deb | Shankar Ghosh | Sharadindu Chakraborty | Aloke Dhara | SWING | Debate over urban infrastructure. |
| 27 | Phansidewa (ST) | Reena Toppo Ekka | Durga Murmu | Sumanti Ekka | Nabanita Tirkey | BJP | 2024 segment lead persistence. |
| 28 | Chopra | Hamidul Rahaman | Shankar Adhikari | Makleswar Rahaman | Zakir Abedin | TMC | Minority consolidation hold |
| 29 | Islampur | Kanaia Lal Agarwal | Chitrajit Roy | Sami Khan | — | TMC | Veteran local leader influence. |
| 30 | Goalpokhar | Md. Ghulam Rabbani | Sarjit Biswas | Juber Alam | Masood Md. Naseem Ahsen | TMC | Ministerial push and minority vote. |
| 31 | Chakulia | Minhajul Arfin Azad | Manoj Jain | Amjad Ali | Ali Imran Ramz (Victor) | SWING | Strong INC presence (Ali Imran). |
| 32 | Karandighi | Goutam Paul | Biraj Biswas | Md. Sahabuddin | Murshid Alam | TMC | Rural stability through schemes. |
| 33 | Hemtabad (SC) | Satyajit Barman | Haripada Barman | Tanushree Das | Anamika Roy | TMC | SC hold + Laxmir Bhandar. |
| 34 | Kaliaganj (SC) | Nitai Baishya | Utpal Maharaj | Hirubala Roy | Girdhari Pramanik | SWING | BJP SC pocket vs TMC schemes |
| 35 | Raiganj | Krishna Kalyani | Kaushik Chowdhury | Jibananda Singha | Mohit Sengupta | TMC | Kalyani’s personal base and AITC shift. |
| 36 | Itahar | Mosaraf Hossen | Amit Kumar Kundu | Biswanath Sarkar | — | TMC | Rural Strong TMC hold |
| 37 | Kushmandi (SC) | Rekha Roy | Ranjit Roy | Akshoy Sarkar | — | TMC | Women SC vote hold |
| 38 | Kumarganj | Toraf Hossain Mondal | Sukumar Roy | Sanjit Roy | — | TMC | TMC dominance hold |
| 39 | Balurghat | Arpita Ghosh | Ashok Lahiri | Biswajit Paramanick | Abdus Sattar Mondal | BJP | High profile BJP hold |
| 40 | Tapan (ST) | Chintamoni Biha | Budhrai Tudu | Bappai Haro | Bankim Chandra Toppo | BJP | Tudu’s local tribal grip. |
| 41 | Gangarampur (SC) | Goutam Das | Satyendra Nath Ray | Biplab Barman | Jui Barman | BJP | Consistent lead in SC demographic. |
| 42 | Harirampur | Biplab Mitra | Debabrata Majumder | Gautam Goswami | Subhasish Pal (Sona) | TMC | Mitra’s traditional stronghold. |
| 43 | Habibpur (ST) | Amal Kisku | Joyel Murmu | Basudeb Barman | Rajen Soren | BJP | Tribal alignment with saffron. |
| 44 | Gazole (SC) | Prasenjit Das | Chinmoy Deb Barman | Khitish Sarkar | Sanjay Sarkar | BJP | Anti-incumbency in agricultural belt. |
| 45 | Chanchal | Prasun Banerjee | Ratan Das | Anawarul Haque | Asif Mehbub | TMC | Minority-Welfare mix TMC sweep |
| 46 | Harishchandrapur | Md. Matibur Rahaman | Ratan Das | Sheikh Khalil | Mostaque Alam | TMC | Minority scheme hold |
| 47 | Malatipur | Abdur Rahim Boxi | Ashish Das | Minarul Hossain | Mausam Noor | SWING | Noor (INC) factor vs TMC machinery. |
| 48 | Ratua | Samar Mukherjee | Abhishek Singhania | Jahur Alam | Mottakin Alam | TMC | Consistent segment performance. |
| 49 | Manikchak | Kabita Mandal | Gour Chandra Mondal | Debojyoti Sinha | Md. Ansarul Hoque | TMC | Veteran leader popularity. |
| 50 | Maldaha (SC) | Lipika Barman Ghosh | Gopal Chandra Saha | Dipak Barman | Bhupendra Nath Halder | BJP | Polarized voting in SC areas. |
| 51 | English Bazar | Asis Kundu | Amlan Bhaduri | Ambar Mitra | Masud Alam | TMC | Urban TMC hold |
| 52 | Mothabari | Md. Najrul Islam | Nibaran Ghosh | Moulana Shajahan Ali | Sayem Chowdhury | TMC | High lead in 2021 and 2024. |
| 53 | Sujapur | Sabina Yeasmin | Abhiraj Chaudhury | Md. Karimullah Haque | Md Abdul Hannan | TMC | Massive minority lead TMC fortress |
| 54 | Baisnabnagar | Chandana Sarkar | Raju Karmakar | Dundubhi Saha | Mamuni Mandal | TMC | Focus on river erosion and welfare. |
| 55 | Farakka | Amirul Islam | Sunil Chowdhury | Mojaffar Hossain | Mohammad Odud Hassan | TMC | Minority-Welfare consolidation. |
| 56 | Samserganj | Nur Alam | Shashthi Charan Ghosh | Mohammad Odud Hassan | Nazme Alam | TMC | Consistent high-margin area. |
| 57 | Suti | Emani Biswas | Mahabir Ghosh | A.K.M. Hasanujjaman | Alfazuddin Biswas | TMC | Infrastructure-based patronage. |
| 58 | Jangipur | Jakir Hossain | Chitto Mukherjee | Alok Kumar Das | Mohammad Imran Ali | TMC | Strong minority hold |
| 59 | Raghunathganj | Akhruzzaman | Surajit Poddar | Abul Hasnat | Nasir Saikh | TMC | 2024 segment stability AND loyalty |
| 60 | Sagardighi | Bayron Biswas | Tapas Chakraborty | — | — | TMC | Biswas base shift to AITC. |
| 61 | Lalgola | Abdul Aziz | Amar Kumar Das | Babluzzaman | Md. Touhidur Rahaman | TMC | Minority stronghold + Loyalty |
| 62 | Bhagabangola | Reyat Hossain Sarkar | Bhaskar Sarkar | Mahmudal Hassan | Anju Begum | TMC | Recent by-election flip retention. |
| 63 | Raninagar | Abdul Soumik Hossain | Rana Pratap Singh Roy | Jamal Hossain | Zulfikur Ali | SWING | JUP (Haider) minority split factor. |
| 64 | Murshidabad | Shaoni Singha Roy | Gouri Shankar Ghosh | Abdul Mannan | Siddiqi Ali | BJP | Historic 2021 flip persistence. |
| 65 | Nabagram (SC) | Pranab Chandra Das | Dilip Saha | Purnima Das | Hiru Haldar | TMC | SC welfare reach (LB). |
| 66 | Khargram (SC) | Ashis Marjit | Mitali Mal | Dhrubajyoti Saha | Dr. Mandar Kanti Mandal | TMC | Marjit local organizational grip. |
| 67 | Burwan (SC) | Pratima Rajak | Sukhen Kumar Bagdi | Ananda Das | Sujit Das | TMC | Effective scheme delivery. |
| 68 | Kandi | Apurba Sarkar | Gargi Das Ghosh | Rejaul Karim | Dr. Shamim Rana | TMC | Consistent lead in 2024. |
| 69 | Bharatpur | Mustafizur Rahaman | Anamika Ghosh | Jinnatun Nahar Gulshan Begum | Azharuddin Sizar | SWING | Kabir (JUP) personal influence. |
| 70 | Rejinagar | Ataur Rahman | Bapan Ghosh | — | Jillu Sk. | SWING | JUP minority consolidation vs TMC |
| 71 | Beldanga | Rabiul Alam Chowdhury | Bharat Kumar Jhawar | Rajesh Ghosh | — | TMC | Minority consolidation. |
| 72 | Baharampur | Naru Gopal Mukherjee | Subrata Maitra | Abul Kashem Sekh | Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury | INC | Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury Core Base. |
| 73 | Hariharpara | Niamot Sheikh | Tanmoy Biswas | Zamiruddin Molla | Mousumi Begum | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 74 | Nowda | Sahina Mumtaz Begum | Rana Mondal | Habibur Rahaman Mondal | Motiur Rahaman | SWING | JUP minority consolidation vs TMC |
| 75 | Domkal | Humayun Kabir | Nanda Dulal Pal | Mostafizur Rahaman | Sahnaz Begum | SWING | TMC vs JUP minority split |
| 76 | Jalangi | Babar Ali | Naba Kumar Sarkar | Yunus Ali Sarkar | Abdul Rezzak Molla | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 77 | Karimpur | Soham Chakraborty | Samarendranath Ghosh | Pravas Majumder | Pooja Roy Chowdhury | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 78 | Tehatta | Dilip Poddar | Subrata Kabiraj | Subodh Biswas | Jyotirmoy Sarkar | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 79 | Palashipara | Rukbanur Rahman | Anima Dutta | Samshur Ali Mallick | Hamidul Haque | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 80 | Kaliganj | Alifa Ahmed | Bapan Ghosh | Sabina Yasmin | Kabil Uddin Shaikh | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 81 | Nakashipara | Kallol Khan | Shantanu Dey | Sukla Saha | Golam Kibria Mandal | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 82 | Chapra | Jeber Sekh | Saikat Sarkar | Jakir Mondal | Rahidul Mandal | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 83 | Krishnanagar Uttar | Somnath Datta | Taraknath Chatterjee | Adwaita Biswas | Arghya Gon | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 84 | Nabadwip | Pundarikakshya Saha | Shruti Shekhar Goswami | Swarnendu Sinha | Samir Saha | TMC | Welfare and religious balance. |
| 85 | Krishnanagar Dakshin | Ujjal Biswas | Sadhan Ghosh | Laboni Jangi | Abdur Rahim Shaikh | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 86 | Santipur | Braja Kishore Goswami | Swapan Das | Soumen Mahato | Alok Chatterjee | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 87 | Ranaghat Uttar Paschim | Tapas Ghosh | Parthasarathi Chatterjee | Debashis Chakraborty | Naba Kumar Mondal | BJP | Matua-Saffron alignment. |
| 88 | Krishnaganj (SC) | Samir Kumar Poddar | Sukanta Biswas | Archana Biswas | Sankar Kumar Sarkar | BJP | Matua bastion |
| 89 | Ranaghat Uttar Purba (SC) | Barnali Dey Roy | Ashim Biswas | Mrinal Biswas | Nitya Gopal Mondal | BJP | CAA-identity persistence. |
| 90 | Ranaghat Dakshin (SC) | Sougata Kumar Burman | Ashim Kumar Biswas | Arindram Biswas | Rita Pal Das | TMC | Adhikari base shift to TMC. |
| 91 | Chakdaha | Subhankar Singha | Bankim Chandra Ghosh | Narayan Dasgupta | Malay Saha | BJP | Urban dissatisfaction |
| 92 | Kalyani (SC) | Atindra Nath Mondal | Anupam Biswas | Sabuj Das | Asimananda Majumder | BJP | Institutional and Matua vote. |
| 93 | Haringhata (SC) | Rajib Biswas | Ashim Kumar Sarkar | Swapan Sarkar | Himanti Das | BJP | High Matua concentration. |
| 94 | Bagdah (SC) | Madhuparna Thakur | Soma Thakur | Gour Biswas | Prabir Kirtania | TMC | By-election victory (Matua split) |
| 95 | Bangaon Uttar (SC) | Biswajit Das | Ashok Kirtania | Pijush Saha | Nilanjan Saha | BJP | Matua core strength. |
| 96 | Bangaon Dakshin (SC) | Rituparna Addhya | Swapan Majumder | Asish Sarkar | Kishor Biswas | BJP | Matua organizational grip. |
| 97 | Gaighata (SC) | Narottam Biswas | Subrata Thakur | Sajal Biswas | Anil Kumar Pandey | BJP | Matua identity politics. |
| 98 | Swarupnagar (SC) | Bina Mondal | Tarak Saha | Biswajit Mondal | Ritesh Mondal | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 99 | Baduria | Burhanul Mokaddin | Sukriti Sarkar | Md. Qutubuddin Fatehi | — | TMC | Minority vote bank. |
| 100 | Habra | Jyotipriya Mallick | Debdas Mondal | Riju Nandan Biswas | — | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Infrastructure legacy. |
| 101 | Ashoknagar | Narayan Goswami | Somoy Hira | Tapas Banerjee | — | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 102 | Amdanga | Pirzada Kasem Siddiqui | Arindam Dey | Biswajit Maity | Gopal Ghosh | TMC | 2024 high segment lead. |
| 103 | Bijpur | Subodh Adhikary | Sudipta Das | Debasish Rakshit | Sibabrata Guha Roy | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 104 | Naihati | Sanat Dey | Sumitro Chatterjee | Debojyoti Majumder | Pradip Kumar Kundu | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 105 | Bhatpara | Amit Gupta | Pawan Singh | Aasnarayan Singh | Dharmendra Shaw | SWING | TMC Muscle power vs Pawan Singh |
| 106 | Jagatdal | Somenath Shyam Ichini | Rajesh Kumar | Parvej Ahmad Khan | Mandira Chakraborty | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Jute mill worker welfare. |
| 107 | Noapara | Trinankur Bhattacharya | Arjun Singh | Gargi Chatterjee | Ashok Bhattacharya | TMC | Traditional constituency hold. |
| 108 | Barrackpore | Raj Chakraborty | Koustav Bagchi | Suman Bandyopadhyay | Sambhu Das | TMC | Celebrity factor and urban lead. |
| 109 | Khardaha | Devdeep Purohit | Kalyan Chakraborty | Debojyoti Das | Joydev Ghosh | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 110 | Dum Dum Uttar | Chandrima Bhattacharya | Saurav Sikdar | Dipsita Dhar | Dhananjoy Moitra | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 111 | Panihati | Tirthankar Ghosh | Ratna Debnath | Kalatan Dasgupta | Subhashish Bhattacharya | SWING | RG Kar victim family emotional factor. |
| 112 | Kamarhati | Madan Mitra | Arup Choudhury | Manash Mukherjee | Kallol Mukherjee | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 113 | Baranagar | Sayantika Banerjee | Sajal Ghosh | Sayandip Mitra | Kalyani Chakraborty | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 114 | Dum Dum | Bratya Basu | Arijit Bakshi | Mayukh Biswas | Susmita Biswas | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 115 | Rajarhat New Town | Tapash Chatterjee | Piyush Kanodia | Saptarshi Deb | SK Nijamuddin | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 116 | Bidhannagar | Sujit Bose | Sharadwat Mukhopadhyay | Soumyajit Raha | Ranajit Mukherjee | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 117 | Rajarhat Gopalpur | Aditi Munshi | Tarunjyoti Tiwari | Subhajit Dasgupta | Partha Bhaumik | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 118 | Madhyamgram | Rathin Ghosh | Anindya Raju Bannerjee | Priyanka Barman | Ananta Roy | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 119 | Barasat | Sabyasachi Dutta | Shankar Chatterjee | Hemanta Das | Tarak Mukherjee | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 120 | Deganga | Anisur Rahaman Bidesh | Tarun Kanti Ghosh | Md. Mafidul Haque Sahaji | Miaraj Baidya | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 121 | Haroa | Md. Mufti Abdul Matin | Bhaskar Mondal | Piyarul Islam | Md Rabiul Molla | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 122 | Minakhan (SC) | Usha Rani Mondal | Rudrendra Patra | Pratik Mondal | Barnali Naskar | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 123 | Sandeshkhali (ST) | Jharna Sardar | Sanat Sardar | Rabindra Nath Mahato | Judhisthir Bhumiji | TMC | Strong grassroots booth management (2024 LS proof) |
| 124 | Basirhat Dakshin | Surajit Mitra | Suraj Banerjee | Ainul Arefin | Abu Ishak Gazi (Babu) | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 125 | Basirhat Uttar | Md. Tauseef Rehman | Kaushik Siddharth | Md. Mucha Karimullah | Musa Haque Mondal | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 126 | Hingalganj (SC) | Ananda Sarkar | Rekha Patra | Nirmal Kumar Biswas | Biswajit Roy | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty + Machinery |
| 127 | Gosaba (SC) | Subrata Mondal | Bikarno Naskar | Aditya Jotdar | Bhupal Chandra Das | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 128 | Basanti (SC) | Nilima Bishal Mistry | Bikash Sardar | Asit Roy | Gopinath Naiya | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 129 | Kultali (SC) | Ganesh Chandra Mondal | Madhabi Mahalder | Ram Sankar Halder | Rupa Halder | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 130 | Patharpratima | Samir Kumar Jana | Asit Kumar Halder | Satya Ranjan Das | Subrangshu Nayek | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 131 | Kakdwip | Manturam Pakhira | Dipankar Jana | Narayan Das | Nasiruddin Ahamed | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 132 | Sagar | Bankim Chandra Hazra | Sumanta Mondal | Swapan Singha | Prasanta Khutia | TMC | Tourism and development boards. |
| 133 | Kulpi | Barnali Dhara | Abni Naskar | Abdul Malek Mollah | Kutub Uddin Molla | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 134 | Raidighi | Tapas Mondal | Palash Rana | Samya Ganguly | Asish Kumar Mandal | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 135 | Mandirbazar (SC) | Joydeb Halder | Mallika Paik | Ashok Kumar Gayen | Dr. Kaushik Baidya | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 136 | Jaynagar (SC) | Biswanath Das | Alok Halder | Apurba Pramanik | Tapas Baidya | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 137 | Baruipur Purba (SC) | Bivas Sardar | Tumpa Sardar | Swapan Naskar | Pratap Chandra Mondal | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 138 | Canning Paschim (SC) | Paresh Ram Das | Prashanta Bayen | Prabir Mondal | Haran Chandra Mistry | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 139 | Canning Purba | Md. Baharul Islam | Ashim Sapui | Arabul Islam | Sabir Ali Sardar | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 140 | Baruipur Paschim | Biman Banerjee | Biswajit Paul | Lahek Ali | Asitlal Nag | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 141 | Magrahat Purba (SC) | Sharmistha Purkait | Uttam Kumar Banik | Chandan Saha | Dr. Atanu Halder | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 142 | Magrahat Paschim | Shamim Ahmed | Gour Sundar Ghosh | Abdul Ajij al Hasan | Abdul Majid Halder | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 143 | Diamond Harbour | Pannalal Halder | Dipak Kumar Halder | Samarendra Nath Naiya | Goutam Bhattacharya | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 144 | Falta | Jahangir Khan | Debangshu Panda | Sambhu Kurmi | Abdur Rajjak Molla | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 145 | Satgachhia | Somashree Betal | Agniswar Naskar | Gautam Pal | Pravash Ghosh | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 146 | Bishnupur (SC) | Dilip Mondal | Abhijit Sardar | Shyamal Dal | Arghya Naskar | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 147 | Sonarpur Dakshin | Arundhuti Maitra | Roopa Ganguly | Paramita Dasgupta | Subrata Datta | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 148 | Bhangar | Saokat Molla | Jayanta Gayen | Naushad Siddiqui | Mahabubul Islam | ISF | Strong ISF support |
| 149 | Kasba | Javed Ahmed Khan | Sandeep Banerjee | Dipu Das | Md. Hasim Zeshan Ahmad | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 150 | Jadavpur | Debabrata Majumdar | Sarbori Mukherjee | Bikash Ranjan Bhattacharya | Shyamali Mandal | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 151 | Sonarpur Uttar | Firdousi Begum | Debashish Dhar | Monalisa Sinha | Dr. Jagannath Kumir | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 152 | Tollygunge | Aroop Biswas | Papiya Adhikari | Partha Pratim Biswas | Manas Sinha Roy | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 153 | Behala Purba | Subhasish Chakraborty | Shankar Sikdar | Niloy Majumder | Abhijit Raha | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 154 | Behala Paschim | Ratna Chatterjee | Indranil Khan | Nihar Bhakta | Saibal Roy | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 155 | Maheshtala | Subhasis Das | Tamanath Bhowmik | Sayan Banerjee | Haji Abdul Hannan | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 156 | Budge Budge | Ashok Kumar Deb | Tarun Kumar Adak | Kajol Dutta Ghosh | Mubijar Rahaman Kayal | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 157 | Metiaburuz | Abdul Khaleque Molla | Veer Bahadur Singh | Monirul Islam | Md. Mukhtar | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 158 | Kolkata Port | Firhad Hakim | Rakesh Singh | Faiyaz Khan | Aquib Gulzar | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 159 | Bhabanipur | Mamata Banerjee | Suvendu Adhikari | Shrijeeb Biswas | Pradip Prasad | TMC | TMC high profile strong fort |
| 160 | Rashbehari | Debasish Kumar | Swapan Dasgupta | Manas Ghosh | Ashutosh Chatterjee | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 161 | Ballygunge | Sovandeb Chattopadhyay | Shatarupa | Afrin Begum | Rohan Mitra | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 162 | Chowrangee | Nayna Bandopadhyay | Santosh Pathak | Sanjoy Basu | Manash Sarkar | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 163 | Entally | Sandipan Saha | Priyanka Tibrewal | Abdur Rouf | Kashif Reza | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 164 | Beleghata | Kunal Ghosh | Partha Choudhary | Paramita Roy | Shahina Javed | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 165 | Jorasanko | Vijay Upadhayay | Vijay Ojha | Bharat Ram Tiwari | Deepak Singh | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 166 | Shyampukur | Sashi Panja | Poornima Chakraborty | Jhuma Das | Purna Ghosh | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 167 | Maniktala | Shrreya Pandey | Tapas Roy | Mousumi Ghosh | Suman Roy Chowdhury | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 168 | Kashipur-Belgachhia | Atin Ghosh | Ritesh Tiwari | Rajinder Gupta | Tarak Pal | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 169 | Bally | Kailash Mishra | Sanjay Singh | Sankar Moitra | Priyanka Choudhury | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 170 | Howrah Uttar | Goutam Chowdhuri | Umesh Rai | Gautam Roy | Om Prakash Jaiswal | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 171 | Howrah Madhya | Arup Roy | Biplab Mondal | Imteaz Ahmed | Aparna Bose | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 172 | Shibpur | Rana Chatterjee | Rudranil Ghosh | Jagannath Bhattacharya | Shrabanti Singh | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 173 | Howrah Dakshin | Nandita Chowdhury | Shyamal Hati | Abhijit Bandyopadhyay | Deepsikha Bhowmick | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 174 | Sankrail (SC) | Priya Paul | Barnali Dhali | Samir Malick | Bechu Ram Malik | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 175 | Panchla | Gulsan Mullick | Ranjan Kumar Paul | Farid Molla | Rahul Pandey | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 176 | Uluberia Purba | Ritabrata Banerjee | Rudraprasad Bannerjee | Ansar Ali Sheikh | Alam Deiyan SK | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 177 | Uluberia Uttar (SC) | Bimal Kumar Das | Chiran Bera | Ashok Dolui | Kalyani Haldar | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 178 | Uluberia Dakshin | Pulak Roy | Mangalanand Puri Maharaj | Amirul Islam Khan | Intaz Ali Shah | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 179 | Shyampur | Nadebasi Jana | Hiran Chatterjee | Asit Baran Sau | SK. Manjur Alam | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 180 | Bagnan | Arunava Sen | Premangshu Rana | Bhaskar Roy | Sk. Hafizur Rahaman | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 181 | Amta | Sukanta Kumar Paul | Amit Samanta | Joshimuddin Mallick | Tapan Das | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 182 | Udaynarayanpur | Samir Kumar Panja | Prabhakar Pandit | Shasthi Maji | Asit Bakuly | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 183 | Jagatballavpur | Subir Chatterjee | Anupam Ghosh | Nazira Khatoon | Koushik Roy | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 184 | Domjur | Tapas Maity | Gobinda Hazra | Dulu Das | Aloke Koley | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 185 | Uttarpara | Sirsanya Banerjee | Dipanjan Chakraborty | Minakshi Mukherjee | Subrata Mukherjee | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Kalyan Banerjee effect. |
| 186 | Sreerampur | Tanmay Ghosh | Bhaskar Bhattacharya | Nabanita Chakraborty | — | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 187 | Champdani | Arindam Guin | Dilip Singh | Chandranath Banerjee | Pritam Ghosh | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 188 | Singur | Becharam Manna | Arup Kumar Das | Debasish Chatterjee | Barun Kumar Malik | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 189 | Chandannagar | Indranil Sen | Dipanjan Guha | Manish Panda | Ratan Kumar Goldar | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 190 | Chunchura | Debangshu Bhattacharya | Subir Nag | Sunil Saha | Moinul Haque | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 191 | Balagarh (SC) | Ranjan Dhara | Sumana Sarkar | Bikash Goldar | Ashok Biswas | SWING | Slight chance of swing between TMC and BJP |
| 192 | Pandua | Samir Chakraborty | Tushar Kumar Majumdar | Amjad Hossain | Sanatan Mandi | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 193 | Saptagram | Bidesh Ranjan Bose | Swaraj Ghosh | Anirban Sarkar | Sougata Ghosh | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 194 | Chanditala | Swati Khandoker | Debasish Mukherjee | Sheikh Asif Ali | Sk Abu Abbasuddin | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 195 | Jangipara | Snehasish Chakraborty | Prasenjit Bag | Sudipto Sarkar | Subhashish Datta | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 196 | Haripal | Karabi Manna | Madhumita Ghosh | Sheikh Muzaffar Ali | Saif Azad | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 197 | Dhanekhali (SC) | Ashima Patra | Barnali Das | Ruma Aheri | Jyoti Kumari Das | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 198 | Tarakeswar | Ramendu Sinharay | Santu Pan | Abesh Khamrui | Bhabani Prasad Mondal | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 199 | Pursurah | Partha Hazari | Biman Ghosh | Sandip Kumar Samanta | Sk. Habibar Rahaman | BJP | Strong organizational machinery. |
| 200 | Arambagh (SC) | Mita Bag | Hemanta Bag | Bithika Pandit | Sushil Kumar Santra | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 201 | Goghat (SC) | Nirmal Maji | Prashanta Digar | Muktaram Dhaure | Haradhan Santra | BJP | Polarization area persistence |
| 202 | Khanakul | Palash Roy | Susanta Ghosh | Sheikh Saddam Hossein | Pradip Kumar Kar | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 203 | Tamluk | Dipendra Narayan Roy | Hari Krishna Bera | Nabendu Ghara | Haradhan Mazumder | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 204 | Panskura Purba | Asim Kumar Maji | Subrata Maity | Sheikh Ibrahim Ali | Dipak Patra | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 205 | Panskura Paschim | Siraj Khan | Sintu Senapati | Niranjan Sihi | Kalyan Roy | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 206 | Moyna | Chandan Mondal | Ashok Dinda | Swapan Barman | Nimai Barman | BJP | Strong RSS-BJP presence. |
| 207 | Nandakumar | Sukumar Dey | Nirmal Khanra | Chandan Maity | Sekh Matin | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 208 | Mahisadal | Tilak Kumar Chakraborty | Subhash Panja | Paritosh Patnayak | Kajal Nayek Das | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 209 | Haldia (SC) | Tapasi Mondal | Pradip Kumar Bijoli | Ashok Patra | Abhimanyu Mandal | BJP | Industrial urban anger. |
| 210 | Nandigram | Pabitra Kar | Suvendu Adhikari | Shanti Giri | SK Jariatul Hossain | BJP | Suvendu Adhikari Stronghold. |
| 211 | Chandipur | Uttam Barik | Piyush Kanti Das | Rita Das | SK Taslim Ahmed | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 212 | Patashpur | Pijush Kanti Panda | Tapan Maity | Saikat Giri | — | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 213 | Kanthi Uttar | Debasis Bhunia | Sumita Sinha | Sutanu Maity | Subrata Mahapatra | BJP | Adhikari family bastion. |
| 214 | Bhagabanpur | Manab Kumar Porua | Shantanu Pramanik | Pratibha Rani Kar Sasamal | Biswajit Panigrahi | BJP | Saffron consolidation. |
| 215 | Khejuri (SC) | Rabin Chandra Mandal | Subrata Paik | Himangshu Das | Asit Pramanik | BJP | Traditional BJP base. |
| 216 | Kanthi Dakshin | Tarun Kumar Jana | Arup Kumar Das | Teheran Hossain | Sk. Masud Malik | BJP | Adhikari dominance persistence. |
| 217 | Ramnagar | Akhil Giri | Chandra Shekhar Mondal | Ashoke Kumar Maity | Manas Kumar Dutta | TMC | Giri’s ministerial grip. |
| 218 | Egra | Tarun Maity | Dibyendu Adhikari | Subrata Panda | Anjan Kumar Pattnayak | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 219 | Dantan | Manik Maity | Ajit Kumar Jana | Shyamalkanti Das Pattanayek | Utpal Dutta | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 220 | Nayagram (ST) | Dulal Murmu | Amiya Kisku | Pulin Bihari Baske | Prasanta Murmu | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 221 | Gopiballavpur | Ajit Mahata | Rajesh Mahato | Bikash Sarangi | Sourav Ghosh | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 222 | Jhargram | Mangal Saren | Lakshmikant Sahu | Arjun Mahato | Prasenjit Dey | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 223 | Keshiary (ST) | Ramjiban Mandi | Bhadra Hembram | Malina Murmu | Kaluchand Tudu | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 224 | Kharagpur Sadar | Pradip Sarkar | Dilip Ghosh | Madhusudan Roy | Dr. Papiya Chakraborty | BJP | BJP Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 225 | Narayangarh | Pratibha Rani Maity | Rama Prasad Giri | Tapas Sinha | Sk Alam Hossain | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 226 | Sabang | Manas Bhunia | Amal Panda | Nakul Chandra Bera | Aloke Kumar Samui | TMC | Bhunia’s absolute control. |
| 227 | Pingla | Ajit Maity | Swagata Manna | Ashoke Sen | Sushanta Mandal | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 228 | Kharagpur | Dinen Roy | Tapan Bhuiya | Sheikh Shahjahan Ali | Ujjal Mukherjee | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 229 | Debra | Rajib Banerjee | Subhashish Om | Sumit Adhikary | Chittaranjan Jana | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 230 | Daspur | Ashish Hudait | Tapan Dutta | Ranjit Pal | Koushik Goswami | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 231 | Ghatal (SC) | Shyamali Sardar | Shital Kapat | Shantinath Satik | Kaberi Dolui | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 232 | Chandrakona (SC) | Surjya Kanta Dolui | Sukanta Dolui | Suparna Dolui | Manika Middya | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 233 | Garbeta | Uttara Singha | Pradip Lodha | Tapan Ghosh | Siddharta Bishoyee | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 234 | Salboni | Srikanta Mahata | Biman Mahato | Piyush Hansda | Arup Mukherjee | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 235 | Keshpur (SC) | Seuli Saha | Suvendu Samanta | Gurupada Mondal | Kamal Kishore Khanna | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 236 | Medinipur | Sujoy Hazra | Shankar Guchhait | Monikuntal Khamrui | Sambhunath Chattopadhyay | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 237 | Binpur (ST) | Birbaha Hansda | Pranat Tudu | Rabi Sing Sardar | Golapi Soren | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 238 | Bandwan (ST) | Rajib Lochan Saren | Labsen Baskey | Rathu Singh Sardar | Siten Mandi | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 239 | Balarampur | Shantiram Mahato | Jaladhar Mahato | Namita Mahato | Sukanta Mahato | BJP | Narrow BJP segment lead 2024. |
| 240 | Baghmundi | Sushanta Mahato | Rahidas Mahato | Parimal Kumar | Nepal Chandra Mahato | SWING | Strong INC presence (Nepal Mahato).SWING |
| 241 | Joypur | Arjun Mahato | — | Dhirendra Nath Mahato | Phani Bhushan Kumar | BJP | Caste-based voting split. |
| 242 | Purulia | Sujoy Banerjee | Sudip Kumar Mukherjee | Sayantan Ghosh | Dibyajyoti Prasad Singh Deo | BJP | Urban dissatisfaction (Purulia town). |
| 243 | Manbazar (ST) | Sandhya Rani Tudu | Moyna Murmu | Sonamoni Tudu | Sombari Mahali | TMC | Minister’s local hold. |
| 244 | Kashipur | Soumen Beltharia | Kamalakanta Hansda | Sulekha Bauri | Subhas Mahato | BJP | Saffron push persistence. |
| 245 | Para (SC) | Manik Bauri | Nadiar Chand Bouri | Aloke Bauri | Phalguni Bauri | BJP | High SC polarization area. |
| 246 | Raghunathpur (SC) | Hazari Bauri | Mamoni Bauri | Ganesh Bauri | Sandhya Bauri | BJP | BJP Loyalty Base |
| 247 | Saltora (SC) | Uttam Bauri | Chandana Bauri | Nandalal Bauri | Amar Kanti Mandal | BJP | Anti-incumbency in mining belt. |
| 248 | Chhatna | Swapan Kumar Mandal | Satyanarayan Mukhopadhyay | Rajib Kar | Partha Pratim Bose | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 249 | Ranibandh (ST) | Tanushree Hansda | Kshudiram Tudu | Deblina Hembram | Gurupada Sardar | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 250 | Raipur (ST) | Thakur Moni Soren | Kshetra Mohan Hansda | Ram Mandi | Subhra Hembram Murmu | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 251 | Taldangra | Falguni Singhababu | Souvik Patra | Debkanti Mohanti | Nayan Das Chakraborty | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 252 | Bankura | Anup Mondal | Niladri Sekhar Dana | Abhayananda Mukherjee | Arup Banerjee | BJP | Urban anger |
| 253 | Barjora | Gautam Mishra | Billeshwar Singha | Sujit Chakraborty | Vivekananda Keora | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 254 | Onda | Subrata Dutta | Amarnath Shakha | Asit Sharma | Paban Salampuria | BJP | Saffron stronghold persistence. |
| 255 | Bishnupur | Tanmay Ghosh | Shukla Chatterjee | Titas Gupta | Ujjal Chandra | BJP | Local BJP Loyalty |
| 256 | Katulpur (SC) | Harakali Protiher | Lakshmikanta Majumdar | Ramchandra Roy | Sumitra Mallick Santra | BJP | Consistent 2024 lead. |
| 257 | Indas (SC) | Shyamali Roy Bagdi | Nirmal Kumar Dhara | Mona Mallick | Mou Mandal Samanta | BJP | Polarization persistence |
| 258 | Sonamukhi (SC) | Kallol Saha | Dibakar Gharami | Ajit Roy | Rahul Bauri | BJP | Strong Organizational presence. |
| 259 | Khandaghosh (SC) | Nabin Chandra Bag | Gautam Dhara | Ramjiban Roy | Arup Kumar Saha | TMC | High Laxmir Bhandar impact. |
| 260 | Bardhaman Dakshin | Khokan Das | Moumita Biswas | Sudipta Gupta | Gourab Samaddar | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 261 | Raina (SC) | Mandira Dalui | Subhash Patra | Somnath Majhi | Anik Saha | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 262 | Jamalpur (SC) | Bhootnath Mallick | Arun Halder | Samar Hazra | Rajib Saha | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 263 | Monteswar | Siddiqullah Chowdhury | Saikat Panja | Anupam Ghosh | Jyotirmoy Mondal | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 264 | Kalna (SC) | Deboprasad Bag | Siddharth Majumdar | Sarmistha Nag Saha | Amal Kumar Saha | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 265 | Memari | Rasbihari Halder | Manav Guha | Krishanu Bhadra | Prabir Ganguly | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 266 | Bardhaman Uttar (SC) | Nisith Kumar Malik | Sanjay Das | Mamoni Mondal Roy | Sandip Das | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 267 | Bhatar | Shantanu Koner | Soumen Karfa | Hasina Khatoon | Dhurjati Bijoy Maji | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 268 | Purbasthali Dakshin | Swapan Debnath | Prankrishna Tapadar | Ziadul Sekh | Rabindranath Mondal | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 269 | Purbasthali Uttar | Vasundhara Goswami | Gopal Chattopadhyay | Pradip Saha | Amitava Bhattacharya | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 270 | Katwa | Rabindranath Chatterjee | Krishna Ghosh | Sanjib Das | Ranajit Chatterjee | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 271 | Ketugram | Sekh Sahonawez | Anadi Ghosh | — | Md. Mofirul Kassem | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 272 | Mangalkot | Apurba Chowdhury | Shishir Ghosh | Miraj Alam | Jagadish Dutta | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 273 | Ausgram (SC) | Shyama Prasanna Lohar | Kalita Maji | Chanchal Majhi | Nisha Boral | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 274 | Galsi (SC) | Alok Kumar Majhi | Raju Patra | Monimala Das | Debasish Biswas | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 275 | Pandabeswar | Narendranath Chakraborty | Jitendra Tiwari | Prabir Mondal | Uttam Kumar Roy | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 276 | Durgapur Purba | Pradip Mazumdar | Chandra Shekhar Banerjee | Simanta Chatterjee | Debesh Chakraborty | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 277 | Durgapur Paschim | Kavi Dutta | Lakshman Chandra Ghorui | Pravas Sain | Tarun Roy | BJP | Industrial dissatisfaction. |
| 278 | Raniganj | Kalobaran Mondal | Partho Ghosh | Naran Bauri | Faiz Ahmed | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 279 | Jamuria | Hareram Singh | Bijan Mukherjee | Md. Sabbir Hussain | Tarun Kumar Ganguly | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 280 | Asansol Dakshin | Tapas Banerjee | Agnimitra Paul | Shilpi Chakraborty | Souvik Mukherjee | SWING | High-profile urban contest. |
| 281 | Asansol Uttar | Moloy Ghatak | Krishnendu Mukherjee | Akhilesh Kumar Singh | Prasenjit Paitundi | TMC | Ghatak’s dominant grip. |
| 282 | Kulti | Abhijit Ghatak | Ajay Kumar Poddar | Bhabani Acharya | Rabi Yadav | BJP | Persistence of urban lead. |
| 283 | Barabani | Bidhan Upadhyay | Arijit Roy | Biswajit Bauri | Joydev Roy | TMC | Upadhyay’s local machinery. |
| 284 | Dubrajpur (SC) | Chandra Naresh Bauri | Anup Kumar Saha | Bijoy Bagdi | Sanjoy Byapari | BJP | Polarized voting area. |
| 285 | Suri | Ujjal Chatterjee | Jagannath Chattopadhyay | Motiur Rahaman | Sanjoy Adhikary | TMC | 2024 segment lead persistence |
| 286 | Bolpur | Chandranath Singha | Dilip Kumar Ghosh | Bapi Soren | Rathin Sen | TMC | Sinha’s ministerial grip. |
| 287 | Nanoor (SC) | Bidhan Chandra Majhi | Khokan Das | Shyamali Pradhan | Abhay Das | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 288 | Labpur | Abhijit Sinha | Debasish Ojha | — | Ratna Sen | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 289 | Sainthia (SC) | Nilabati Saha | Krishna Kant Saha | Debu Chunari | Archana Ankur | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 290 | Mayureswar | Abhijit Roy | Dudh Kumar Mondal | Jayanta Bhalla | Syed Kasafoddoza (Chandan) | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 291 | Rampurhat | Ashish Banerjee | Dhruba Saha | Sanjib Mallick | Vivekananda Shaw | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 292 | Hansan | Fayezul Haque | Nikhil Banerjee | Kamal Hasan | Milton Rashid | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 293 | Nalhati | Rajendra Prasad Singh | Anil Singh | Dipak Chatterjee | Dr. Abdul Karim | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
| 294 | Murarai | Mosarraf Hossain | Rinki Ghosh | Md. Ali Reza Mandal | Sanjibur Rahaman | TMC | TMC Stronghold + Loyalty |
Showing 294 of 294 constituencies
Why We Project TMC Retaining Power
Factor 01
Strong Incumbency & Welfare Schemes
The TMC government's extensive welfare programs like Lakshmir Bhandar (direct cash transfer to women), Swasthya Sathi (health insurance), and the latest Banglar Yuba Sathi have created deep grassroots loyalty, particularly among women, rural voters, and youth who form a decisive electoral bloc.
Factor 02
BJP's Declining Momentum
After peaking at 77 seats in 2021, BJP faces organizational fragmentation, internal lobbing to destabilize own members, and inability to consolidate the anti-incumbency vote. Our ground intelligence suggests their vote share has contracted from the 2021 high of 38.1%.
Factor 03
Fragmented Opposition
The Left Front or Congress has not been able to regain their historical bases. The Left's organizational structure continues to weaken, and Congress's presence is largely limited to Murshidabad. ISF's alliance with Left may help in select pockets but not shift the macro picture.
Factor 04
Social Media & Ground Sentiment
POLIQ's social media and ground intelligence tracking shows TMC maintaining a significant digital presence for the "Anti-Bengali BJP" narrative. Ground-level sentiment surveys across 200+ constituencies indicate sustained satisfaction with state governance, still 52% approval rate for Mamata Banerjee as the CM along with localized pockets of anti-incumbency insufficient to alter outcomes.
Disclaimer: This projection is based on POLIQ's proprietary multi-source intelligence methodology and represents our best analytical assessment as of 30th March 2026. Actual election results may vary. This report is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as political advice. POLIQ is an independent, non-partisan research organization. For commissioned research or methodology details, contact us at [email protected].